Dangote 1.5bn litres petrol December 2025 is more than a headline. The company says it will push 50 million litres daily in December and January. Here’s the twist: it also reports current petrol output of 40–45 million litres per day.

Dangote 1.5bn litres petrol December 2025 pledge

The pledge is explicit: 1.5 billion litres in December and another 1.5 billion litres in January, equal to 50 million litres each day. Multiple national outlets carried the commitment and the current 40–45 million litres/day production figure. Company statements frame the move as ensuring availability through the festive window.

You might be surprised that the dangote refinery petrol supply has rarely hit this pace historically. But the target covers most of typical demand, if distribution holds. Consequently, the holiday narrative shifts from scarcity worries to execution risk.

Regulator verification and daily publication

What no one is mentioning, the transparency play could be the bigger story. A letter signed November 30 invited the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority to deploy officials on site from December 1. Under this plan, NMDPRA verification Dangote would include publishing daily production and stock figures.

Additionally, daily dashboards would raise confidence for marketers and motorists. NMDPRA verification Dangote, if sustained, could deter rumors and panic buying. Therefore, credibility hinges on consistent public data.

Timeline , Dangote 1.5bn litres petrol December 2025 and the February ramp-up

The stated cadence starts December 1 at 50 million litres per day. The December and January target is 1.5 billion litres each month. From February 2026, outlets report an increase to between 1.7 and 1.75 billion litres per month.

Here’s the twist: not every outlet cites the same February number. Some print 1.7 billion litres, others report 1.75 billion litres February 2026. Still, both imply a step-up from the December/January baseline.

How 50m litres/day stacks against demand

According to the regulator’s October fact sheet, Nigeria petrol consumption 56.7m litres per day set the recent bar. Even at 50 million daily, the pledge trails that by a narrow margin. However, it still covers most demand if imports and other local flows bridge the gap.

Moreover, the same report shows Dangote averaged 18.03 million litres/day between October 2024 and October 2025 while state refineries produced none. Consequently, the December plan marks a notable jump from that baseline. By contrast, sustained deliveries will depend on logistics.

February target variance: 1.7–1.75bn litres

Evidence shows a split in the February guidance across outlets. Some mention 1.7 billion litres per month, roughly 57 million daily. Others highlight 1.75 billion litres February 2026, which would be close to 60 million daily.

If the plant reaches 1.75 billion litres February 2026, it could meet or slightly exceed recent demand patterns. But if it lands near 1.7 billion, the gap remains modest. Therefore, February becomes the key proof point.

Implications for holiday supply

The company links this push directly to preventing festive-period scarcity. For December 2025 petrol Nigeria, availability hinges on lifting daily truck-outs and smoothing payments. The dangote refinery petrol supply will also test how quickly marketers can turn volumes into retail availability.

Additionally, traders say clear data can calm queues. If daily publications show steady 50 million litres, December 2025 petrol Nigeria may avoid the usual crunch. Yet, weather, haulage, and depot bottlenecks still matter.

What’s next

Start with verification. Officials are expected on site to validate and publish daily numbers, keeping the market informed. Then comes February, where the range between 1.7 billion and 1.75 billion litres will reveal actual capacity and reliability at scale.

Also watch for distribution moves that cut delays. If transparency holds and volumes persist, Nigeria petrol consumption 56.7m could be covered without emergency imports. But execution will decide how the Dangote 1.5bn litres petrol December 2025 plan lands across the pump network.