Q3 2025 GDP advance estimate canceled: BEA scrubs Oct. 30 release amid shutdown fallout
Q3 2025 GDP advance estimate canceled: the BEA scrapped the October 30, 2025 GDP release after a federal shutdown disrupted data flows, according to available reports. The agency also reset other calendar items as it restarts publication.
Q3 2025 GDP advance estimate canceled by BEA
The move removes the quarter’s first official read on growth. BEA confirmed the cancellation and cited shutdown-related disruptions in its schedule updates. In its notice, the agency wrote, “Gross Domestic Product, 3rd Quarter 2025 (Advance Estimate) is cancelled.”
The Q3 2025 GDP advance estimate canceled also removes a key anchor for early macro narratives. Consequently, private nowcasts and monthly indicators may carry more weight until new dates appear.
Why the October 30 GDP release mattered
The advance estimate is typically the first of three readings. BEA publishes advance, second, and third estimates for each quarter’s GDP, providing successive revisions as more data arrive. Therefore, skipping the October 30, 2025 GDP release deprives markets of an early signal on growth.
Historically, the first print sets expectations for revisions and policy debates. Without it, analysts lean more on alternative trackers and sector reports.
Timeline: cancellations and revised dates
- Oct. 30: Q3 2025 GDP advance estimate canceled.
- Nov. 26: second estimate Q3 2025 rescheduled with preliminary corporate profits pending.
- Dec. 5, 10 a.m. ET: September 2025 personal income and outlays set for release.
BEA said additional calendar changes will follow as operations normalize. Accordingly, stakeholders should monitor the agency’s schedule page for further updates.
After the Q3 2025 GDP advance estimate cancellation: second estimate status
BEA says the second estimate Q3 2025 rescheduled alongside preliminary corporate profits. However, no new date was posted at time of writing. As a result, Q3’s data sequence will re-open later than usual.
Data gaps from the shutdown
The recent federal shutdown created a broader US economic data shutdown impact. Because agencies paused operations, several releases moved or went dark. Coverage has tracked BEA shutdown data delays across GDP, inflation, and income reports. As a result, BEA shutdown data delays have frustrated forecasters and planners who rely on a steady flow of indicators.
Moreover, the US economic data shutdown impact complicates nowcasting and risk management. Still, agencies are restoring cadence as backlogs clear, according to available reports.
What’s next
Watch BEA’s updates for new dates. The September 2025 personal income and outlays report is due Dec. 5 at 10 a.m. ET, offering clues on prices and spending. In addition, the agency will post when the second estimate Q3 2025 rescheduled becomes official.
Until then, the absence of the October 30, 2025 GDP release and the Q3 2025 GDP advance estimate canceled will leave a gap. Consequently, analysts will keep monitoring the US economic data shutdown impact and any further BEA shutdown data delays.
